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Title: | The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis | Authors: | Halupka, Lucyna Arlt, Debora Tolvanen, Jere Millon, Alexandre Bize, Pierre Adamík, Peter Albert, Pascal Arendt, Wayne J. Artemyev, Alexander V. Baglione, Vittorio Bańbura, Jerzy Bańbura, Mirosława Barba, Emilio Barrett, Robert T. Becker, Peter H. Belskii, Eugen Bolton, Mark Bowers, E Keith Bried, Joël Brouwer, Lyanne Bukacińska, Monika Bukaciński, Dariusz Bulluck, Lesley Carstens, Kate F. Catry, Inês Charter, Motti Chernomorets, Anna Covas, Rita Czuchra, Monika Dearborn, Donald C. de Lope, Florentino Di Giacomo, Adrián S. Dombrovski, Valery C. Drummond, Hugh Dunn, Michael J. Eeva, Tapio Emmerson, Louise M. Espmark, Yngve Fargallo, Juan A. Gashkov, Sergey I. Golubova, Elena Yu Griesser, Michael Harris, Michael P. Hoover, Jeffrey P. Jagiełło, Zuzanna Karell, Patrik Kloskowski, Janusz Koenig, Walter D. Kolunen, Heikki Korczak-Abshire, Małgorzata Korpimäki, Erkki Krams, Indrikis Krist, Miloš Krüger, Sonja C. Kuranov, Boris D. Lambin, Xavier Lombardo, Michael P. Lyakhov, Andrey Marzal, Alfonso Møller, Anders P. Neves, Verónica C. Nielsen, Jan Tøttrup Numerov, Alexander Orłowska, Beata Oro, Daniel Öst, Markus Phillips, Richard A. Pietiäinen, Hannu Polo, Vicente Porkert, Jiří Potti, Jaime Pöysä, Hannu Printemps, Thierry Prop, Jouke Quillfeldt, Petra Ramos, Jaime A. Ravussin, Pierre-Alain Rosenfield, Robert N. Roulin, Alexandre Rubenstein, Dustin R. Samusenko, Irina E. Saunders, Denis A. Schaub, Michael Senar, Juan C. Sergio, Fabrizio Solonen, Tapio Solovyeva, Diana V. Stępniewski, Janusz Thompson, Paul M. Tobolka, Marcin Török, János van de Pol, Martijn Vernooij, Louis Visser, Marcel E. Westneat, David F. Wheelwright, Nathaniel T. Wiącek, Jarosław Wiebe, Karen L. Wood, Andrew G. Wuczyński, Andrzej Wysocki, Dariusz Zárybnická, Markéta Margalida, Antoni Halupka, Konrad |
Keywords: | birds; climate change; meta-analysis; offspring production | Issue Date: | 9-May-2023 | Publisher: | National Academy of Sciences | Project: | This meta-analysis was financed by the grant of the Polish National Science Centre (Narodowe Centrum Nauki) (no. 2017/27/B/NZ8/00465) awarded to Lucyna Hałupka. | Serial title, monograph or event: | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America | Volume: | 120 | Issue: | 19 | Abstract: | Climate change affects timing of reproduction in many bird species, but few studies have investigated its influence on annual reproductive output. Here, we assess changes in the annual production of young by female breeders in 201 populations of 104 bird species (N = 745,962 clutches) covering all continents between 1970 and 2019. Overall, average offspring production has declined in recent decades, but considerable differences were found among species and populations. A total of 56.7% of populations showed a declining trend in offspring production (significant in 17.4%), whereas 43.3% exhibited an increase (significant in 10.4%). The results show that climatic changes affect offspring production through compounded effects on ecological and life history traits of species. Migratory and larger-bodied species experienced reduced offspring production with increasing temperatures during the chick-rearing period, whereas smaller-bodied, sedentary species tended to produce more offspring. Likewise, multi-brooded species showed increased breeding success with increasing temperatures, whereas rising temperatures were unrelated to reproductive success in single-brooded species. Our study suggests that rapid declines in size of bird populations reported by many studies from different parts of the world are driven only to a small degree by changes in the production of young. | URI: | https://hdl.handle.net/10316/113428 | ISSN: | 0027-8424 1091-6490 |
DOI: | 10.1073/pnas.2208389120 | Rights: | openAccess |
Appears in Collections: | FCTUC Ciências da Vida - Artigos em Revistas Internacionais I&D MARE - Artigos em Revistas Internacionais |
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