The critical drivers of the Brazilian electricity sector's transition through 2050: A Delphi study

Abstract

This work presents 21 critical drivers influencing the transition of the Brazilian electricity sector through 2050. The information is processed using a two-round Delphi method involving experts from government, regulated companies, service providers, and academia. Statistical analysis revealed expert consensus, and stability was achieved between inquiry rounds. The European Union and China emerged as the primary external sources of influence, with policies and regulations identified as the main risks. Additionally, the importance of Brazil’s accession to the OECD is on par with other critical drivers. The gathered evidence can provide valuable data and insights for policymaking, regulation, and future studies.