Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
https://hdl.handle.net/10316/101602
DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | Rodrigues, Mónica | - |
dc.contributor.author | Santana, Paula | - |
dc.contributor.author | Rocha, Alfredo | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2022-09-02T08:31:27Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2022-09-02T08:31:27Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2019 | - |
dc.identifier.issn | 2073-4433 | pt |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/10316/101602 | - |
dc.description.abstract | Climate change is now widely recognised as the greatest global threat over the coming decades. This study aimed to quantify and project the effects of climate change on future temperature-attributable mortality due to circulatory system diseases (CSD) in Lisbon metropolitan area (LMA) and in Porto metropolitan area (PMA). The future time slices of Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP 8.5), mid-term (2046–2065) and long-term (2080–2099) were compared with the reference period (1986–2005). There is a significant decreasing trend in proportion to the overall extreme cold temperature-attributable mortality due to CSD in the future periods (2045–2065 and 2081–2099) in LMA, 0.63% and 0.73%, respectively, and in PMA, 0.62% for 2045–2065 and 0.69% for 2081–2099, compared to the historical period. The fraction attributable to extreme hot temperature in the summer months increased by 0.08% and 0.23%, from 0.04% in the historical period to 0.11% during 2046–2065, and to 0.27% during 2081–2099 in LMA. While there were no noticeable changes due to extreme hot temperature during the summer in PMA, significant increases were observed with warmer winter temperatures: 1.27% and 2.80%. The projections of future temperature-attributable mortality may provide valuable information to support climate policy decision making and temperature-related risk management. | pt |
dc.language.iso | eng | pt |
dc.relation | POCI-01-0145-FEDER-006891 | pt |
dc.relation | UID/GEO/04084/2013 | pt |
dc.relation | UID/AMB/50017/2019 | pt |
dc.rights | openAccess | pt |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | pt |
dc.subject | climate change | pt |
dc.subject | mortality | pt |
dc.subject | temperature extremes | pt |
dc.subject | distributed lag non-linearmodel (DLNM) | pt |
dc.subject | projections | pt |
dc.subject | WRF model | pt |
dc.subject | Portugal | pt |
dc.title | Projections of Temperature-Attributable Deaths in Portuguese Metropolitan Areas: A Time-Series Modelling Approach | pt |
dc.type | article | - |
degois.publication.firstPage | 735 | pt |
degois.publication.issue | 12 | pt |
degois.publication.title | Atmosphere | pt |
dc.peerreviewed | yes | pt |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.3390/atmos10120735 | pt |
degois.publication.volume | 10 | pt |
dc.date.embargo | 2019-01-01 | * |
uc.date.periodoEmbargo | 0 | pt |
item.fulltext | Com Texto completo | - |
item.grantfulltext | open | - |
item.languageiso639-1 | en | - |
item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
item.openairetype | article | - |
item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf | - |
crisitem.author.researchunit | CEGOT – Centre of Studies on Geography and Spatial Planning | - |
crisitem.author.researchunit | CEGOT – Centre of Studies on Geography and Spatial Planning | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-2649-6433 | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-7658-8475 | - |
Appears in Collections: | I&D CEGOT - Artigos em Revistas Internacionais |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
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Projections-of-temperatureattributable-deaths-in-portuguese-metropolitan-areas-A-timeseries-modelling-approachAtmosphere.pdf | 5.45 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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This item is licensed under a Creative Commons License